Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
81 Lehigh 100.0%   15   25 - 7 11 - 3 25 - 7 11 - 3 +6.1      +4.1 66 +2.0 114 74.1 39 +5.5 94 +3.3 2
106 Bucknell 0.0%   23 - 9 12 - 2 23 - 9 12 - 2 +4.4      +2.9 97 +1.5 129 62.4 281 +4.9 101 +7.0 1
174 American 0.0%   20 - 11 10 - 4 20 - 11 10 - 4 -0.5      -1.2 210 +0.7 145 60.9 304 +1.0 156 +2.2 3
228 Holy Cross 0.0%   15 - 14 9 - 5 15 - 14 9 - 5 -3.7      -3.4 267 -0.3 177 69.4 123 -2.1 199 +0.4 4
239 Lafayette 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 7 13 - 18 7 - 7 -4.5      +2.1 119 -6.6 327 68.4 141 -4.3 237 -4.0 5
301 Army 0.0%   11 - 18 5 - 9 11 - 18 5 - 9 -9.0      -6.4 305 -2.6 258 74.0 43 -8.9 294 -7.6 6
321 Colgate 0.0%   8 - 22 2 - 12 8 - 22 2 - 12 -12.3      -3.6 273 -8.7 338 67.8 160 -10.1 304 -14.9 7
323 Navy 0.0%   2 - 26 0 - 14 2 - 26 0 - 14 -12.4      -7.7 320 -4.7 290 58.4 327 -19.5 340 -23.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Lehigh 2.0 100.0
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
American 3.0 100.0
Holy Cross 4.0 100.0
Lafayette 5.0 100.0
Army 6.0 100.0
Colgate 7.0 100.0
Navy 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Lehigh 11 - 3 100.0
Bucknell 12 - 2 100.0
American 10 - 4 100.0
Holy Cross 9 - 5 100.0
Lafayette 7 - 7 100.0
Army 5 - 9 100.0
Colgate 2 - 12 100.0
Navy 0 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Lehigh
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
American
Holy Cross
Lafayette
Army
Colgate
Navy


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Lehigh 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.3 16.9 79.4 3.5
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Lehigh 100.0% 0.1% 99.9% 14.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bucknell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 99.9% 1.0 0.1 99.9
2nd Round 14.7% 0.1 85.3 14.7
Sweet Sixteen 4.5% 0.0 95.5 4.5
Elite Eight 1.1% 0.0 98.9 1.1
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0